Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at 貓腳印雄二店 Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 12.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 12.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.9% | +12.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 47.0% | -2.9 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.9% | +2.9 |
| Water Allies | 6.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.1% | -12.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.3% | +2.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.8% | -21.2 |
| Fire Exia | 3.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.7% | -5.2 |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.1 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.0 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 24 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 24 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Out | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit's Blessing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Immolation Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fiery Interference | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vestal Priestess | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Undying Dreams | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hone by Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Devastating Blow | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flame-Rune Swordsman | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flame Sweep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rending Flames | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flared Iridescence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempered Steel | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |